Norway look destined for their first World Cup appearance since 1998, with Løvene needing only to avoid a nine-goal defeat against Italy to secure their place. They have been in imperious form since the start of the 2026 qualifying campaign in March, winning all seven of their matches. Heavy victories over Moldova, Israel and Estonia have underlined their dominance, but it was the 3–0 win over Italy in Oslo that tilted the group in their favour. Erling Haaland has scored 14 goals, while the now-injured Martin Ødegaard had been supplying his compatriot with ease. It may feel like a party atmosphere for the travelling fans on Sunday, but the players know they still have a job to finish.

Italy, meanwhile, come into this match with nothing to lose. Their 1–0 win over Moldova on Thursday was a disappointment, and any realistic hope of overturning the goal difference has surely vanished. One bright spot is that Gennaro Gattuso remains unbeaten as Azzurri manager since taking charge in June, and he will hope to extend that run against Norway. Expect an attacking lineup, with Italy certain to give it everything as they attempt to reach their first World Cup since 2014. If they fall short, they will head into March’s single-leg play-offs, needing to win two more matches to qualify.