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 “No revolution is the fault of the people but the fault of the government.” – Johann Goethe, 1749-1832, VANGUARD BOOK OF QUOTATIONS, VBQ.

A revolution is underway in the Northern states of Ni­geria. The downtrodden constituting 99.9 per cent of the population, hitherto docile beg­gars, saying rankaindede to the priv­ileged 0.1 per cent are sick and tired of begging. They are now demanding for their own share of “the national cake” to be delivered to them – at gun or cutlass points. Nigeria will never be the same again. The North, is now gradually sliding into the dictator­ship of the beggars or almajiris.

As usual, Nigerian pseudo-social­ists, like the original European pro­moters of the idea, had not expected the least developed region in this country to trigger the revolution, just as the uprising which occurred first in Russia and died there as well was wrongly predicted. Our local copy cats had been writing and talking about revolution in Nigeria on the assumption that highly educated Nigerians would lead it. History might eventually record that the Nigerian revolution (and make no mistake about it there is one on) was spear-headed by those with nothing to lose – no job, no house, no family to speak of, and no hope. For too long there has been ample evidence to prove that the most difficult enemy to fight is one who has nothing to lose. The privileged class in Nigeria had been busy since 1914, and partic­ularly since 1960, nurturing millions of fellow citizens who can only be de­scribed as people without hope liv­ing in another Nigeria from the one inhabited by their overfed leaders.

“There are only two families in the world, my old grandmother used to say, the Haves and the Have-nots.” Miguel Cervantes, 1547-1616.

It has always been a puzzle to me why leaders – Presidents, Gov­ernors, Ministers, Commissioners, party leaders – who we presumed were/are intelligent and wise could have individually and collectively failed to understand that we cannot continue to increase the number of jobless adults and children out of school without eventually reaching the breaking point. Nigeria has one of the widest income disparities in the world – less than one per cent own over seventy per cent of the wealth. The North as a whole is the worst – with the North East and North West being the absolute worst.

For as long as anybody can re­member religion has been misused to get the vast majority of “have-nots” to accept their penury as an “act of Allah”. The extremely wealthy, even if the wealth was accumulated by looting the public purse got away with robbing the masses because of the pervasive docility. Every delin­quent individual readily was sub­missive to the privileged whose only obligation was to give pittance to the people they have robbed by way of alms giving. A Governor caught on video receiving bribe shows no re­morse and even receives Presidential endorsement because President and Governor belong to the oppressive class. Class solidarity was always more important than justice.

For over four decades since first setting foot in the North, I had won­dered when the injustice would result in absolute rebellion. I was certain that the system of institutionalised serfdom could not continue forev­er. The chickens have come home to roost in the North and the revolt might spread all over the country.

The former beggars have dropped their bowls and have acquired bullets and guns. They are now forcing the Haves, who have suppressed them to pay. Henceforth, it will be “Your mon­ey or your life.” The report by DAILY TRUST a few weeks ago is revealing. The four most dangerous places to be in Nigeria today from the standpoint of kidnapping and murder are: Zam­fara, Katsina, Kaduna and Federal Capital Territory. President Buhari resides in two of them.

“If there is government in place, then it should listen to people and address the security challenges. We have mass burials from time to time and there is no sign that government cares about what is happening.” – Catholic Bishop of Yola, Rev. Stephen Mamza.

To that query President Buhari gave an answer which is most pa­thetic and which tells us all we need to know about why we are in this mess and may never get out of it. Read what our leader said. Speaking through one of his echoes, we were told that “but for Buhari’s efforts, Yola and other towns in Adamawa and the rest of the Northeast would still be under the control of Boko Haram”. Two reasons among sever­al render that rejoinder most unpa­triotic. One, there was never a time all of the North East or Yola were under the control of Boko Haram. Parts of them yes, but not the entire region. A president does not need to stretch a small truth to the breaking point in order to exonerate himself. Two, on the same day that the Presi­dent’s spokesman was uttering that falsehood, Nigerians were informed that “Gun men kill 14 in Katsina and Benue.” Nine of the fourteen were slaughtered in Katsina State. Under Jonathan nobody was killed in Katsi­na State and Kaduna had not become the murder capital of Nigeria. While the Bishop was making a general ob­servation about insecurity, Buhari and his small-minded spokesmen turned the entire problem to a polit­ical debate – APC versus PDP. With such little intellect at the top levels of government, it is easy to understand why Buhari might be the last to grasp the significance of what appears like random violence ravaging Nigeria now. Allow me to present a true ac­count of what happened four days to Easter last week.

“The Devil finds work for idle hands.”

I was in Suleija after venturing into a part of Nigeria which was once very safe but which has now become like the “lion’s den” for trav­ellers – especially for those driving good cars and well-dressed. Not to test my luck, I had chartered an old jalopy from the Motor Park instead of the usual Camry. We stopped at a filling station to refuel and my eyes could not believe what they saw. A leading member of the National As­sembly, NASS, was sitting in the back seat of a car which no panel-beater would touch. I recognised him and moved to introduce myself and to ask what was the matter with his cars? Almost in tears, he told me he was heading for Kaduna state but he had to disguise out of fear of being kidnapped or murdered. He would enter his community at night and depart before light of dawn for safe­ty. His family once paid ransom to kidnappers and he was not ready to go through the trauma again. He fin­ished with words that will live long in my memory. “The kidnappers we dealt with were all graduates. They spoke good English. They said they were all unemployed and they too must live somehow. Dr Dele, God save the North. We are in deep trouble.”

He was not alone. I know people who would spend every possible week end in their country homes in Kaduna State until a year ago. That was three years after Jonathan left office and Buhari took over. They don’t go anymore – unless it is ab­solutely necessary. The Governors of Zamfara and Katsina recent­ly cried out loud that their states were under the control of bandits and kidnappers. The Presidency does not dispute those claims. The Governors of Zamfara and Katsina under Jonathan never cried all the way to Abuja that their states had been taken over by criminals. The fact that the President’s own state is under siege by gun men should have been embarrassing to the people (if that is the right word?) at Aso Rock if commonsense is still present there.

If the President’s men and wom­en have taken any trouble to collate the crime reports daily presented by all our newspapers, they would have discovered an alarming correlation between unemployment and serious crimes in rural and urban commu­nities. Even the murders seemingly committed for rituals have as their goal acquisition of wealth by people whose means of legitimate livelihood is not secure. The North has more of them and it is breeding them faster than any other part of the country.

“The child is the father of the man.” – Wil­liam Wordsworth, 1770-1850.

When in 2006, Dr Oby Ezekwesili was the Federal Minister of Educa­tion and the number of millions of children out of school was reported as 6 million; any demographer could have told President Obasanjo that the bandits and kidnappers of 2019 were already with us waiting to grow up and terrorise us. The five years old boys of 2006 are now lanky eighteen years old lads; the ten years old have turned to men 23 years old. While the very young might be afraid to kidnap, rob and murder, the eighteen-plus, without parental guidance all the time, are not so squeamish. There are millions of them now. That is bad enough. Now we have a new set of future delinquents – ten to thir­teen millions – out of school. Most of them will live to reach eighteen and above. Millions of their older broth­ers identified in 2006 will still be alive when the fresh crop of idle hands gets set to be engaged by Satan. The numbers will swell and the security forces will never be able to cope with the deluge of criminals unless we do something urgently.

Follow me on Facebook @ J Israel Biola.

P.S. This article was first published in 2017. Repeated now as reminder.